Livorno vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
PES
0 - 1
LIV
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
EMP
0 - 0
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 2
CRO
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 0
LIV
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 0
SAS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
PIA
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 2
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 2
PES
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |