Livorno vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
INT
5 - 1
LIV
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
SAM
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
NAP
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
LEO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
43%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAL
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROM
16%
20%
64%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |