Livorno vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASC
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 1
VIC
76%
17%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 2
SAS
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 6
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |