Livorno vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 Dec. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 2
LIV
56%
21%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
24 Nov. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 2
GEN
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
17 Nov. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
10 Nov. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 1
LAZ
36%
24%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
03 Nov. 1940 |
FIO
5 - 2
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 Dec. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 4
INT
31%
26%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
24 Nov. 1940 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
17 Nov. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
10 Nov. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
03 Nov. 1940 |
JUV
3 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |