Livorno vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 2
LIV
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 1
SIR
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
FRO
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
BRE
20%
27%
52%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAS
3 - 1
NOC
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
NOC
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 0
USF
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASG
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |