Livorno vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
LIV
4 - 2
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
SIE
1 - 2
LIV
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
1 - 0
PES
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
PES
2 - 1
NAP
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 0
ANC
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |