Livorno vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
65%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
63%
18%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 2
LIV
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 2
BOL
15%
19%
66%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
ACM
5 - 0
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
JUV
4 - 1
LIV
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
NAP
3 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
PRO
3 - 2
NAP
17%
18%
65%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
LEO
6 - 3
NAP
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
NAP
2 - 1
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |