Livorno vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
4.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MON
0 - 2
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
CTT
1 - 0
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |