Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 2
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 2
ALV
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CES
0 - 2
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |