Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
28%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
16.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAN
38%
35%
28%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 1
LIV
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAS
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LIV
36%
31%
33%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
PIS
49%
30%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
50%
31%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 4
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |