Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
GEN
3 - 0
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASS
59%
21%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATP
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
VER
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
PIS
5 - 0
MOD
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 2
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
JUS
1 - 1
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
CAT
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |