Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
ATL
4 - 2
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 1
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
SAM
3 - 0
LIV
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 2
TRI
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRO
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
MOD
4 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |