Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
LIV
3 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
LIV
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 1
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ACL
4 - 2
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
MOD
1 - 1
INT
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |