Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 1
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
ACL
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
MOD
0 - 2
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
GEN
5 - 1
MOD
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 1
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 1
MOD
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 0
ROM
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |