Livorno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
USA
2 - 2
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
LIV
5 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 2
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 3
ROM
21%
20%
59%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 3
LEO
54%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
MOD
4 - 1
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
BOL
2 - 0
MOD
75%
15%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
MOD
3 - 0
ACM
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |