Livorno vs Modena analysis


69	ELO	67
2.3%	Tilt	-0.6%
2607º	General ELO ranking	491º
92º	Country ELO ranking	33º
ELO win probability

57.3%

Livorno

20%

Draw

22.7%

Modena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

57.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%

20%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

20%

22.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%