Livorno vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 1
LIV
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAG
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
0 - 0
SIE
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UDI
2 - 0
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ACM
5 - 1
REG
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
3 - 2
ACM
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
11%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
18%
26%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |