Livorno vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1946 |
JUV
5 - 1
LIV
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
INT
6 - 2
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
PES
1 - 2
LIV
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 0
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
TOR
3 - 0
ACM
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 0
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |