Livorno vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 3
LAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIV
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |