Livorno vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
LIV
2 - 3
ACL
38%
23%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
INT
3 - 1
LIV
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
ACM
2 - 2
LAZ
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
ACM
0 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 3
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |