Livorno vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
ROM
5 - 1
LIV
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
LIV
1 - 2
JUV
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
USA
4 - 1
LIV
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 1
BOL
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 2
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
LAZ
1 - 4
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
61%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |