Livorno vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
3 - 1
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
81%
11%
8%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
TOR
3 - 0
LIV
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 5
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
51%
22%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
58%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |