Livorno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ROM
3 - 0
LIV
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 1
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 0
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LIV
2 - 2
SIE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 3
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |