Livorno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
JUV
4 - 2
LIV
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 2
INT
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 1
LIV
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LEC
3 - 2
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
INT
5 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |