Livorno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
51%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |