Livorno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
LIV
1 - 1
SAL
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
BRE
2 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
LIV
1 - 1
UDI
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
COM
2 - 1
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
LIV
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
MES
0 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |