Livorno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
USC
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
SIR
4 - 1
LIV
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 1
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
JPA
2 - 0
MES
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 16 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
DOM
2 - 0
MES
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |