Livorno vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 0
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
JUV
28%
28%
45%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
BOL
5 - 1
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASL
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 2
TOR
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
INT
4 - 0
ASL
90%
6%
3%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 4
GEN
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |