Livorno vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
LIV
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 0
LIV
19%
23%
59%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
FOR
87%
9%
3%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
13%
20%
67%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 3
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
REG
2 - 2
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SAM
3 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |