Livorno vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 3
FIO
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LIV
2 - 2
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIV
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 5
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 2
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
REG
1 - 1
LAZ
28%
26%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
LAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |