Livorno vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BOL
4 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
JUV
6 - 1
LIV
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
LIV
3 - 2
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 2
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
GEN
3 - 1
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |