Livorno vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
1 - 0
PES
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 1
LIV
19%
21%
61%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
4 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
3 - 0
SAL
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
PES
2 - 2
LAZ
26%
22%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ANC
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SIE
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 1
LAZ
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |