Livorno vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIV
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 2
GEN
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
INT
3 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 2
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 2
LAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |