Livorno vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 1
LIV
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
LIV
4 - 2
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 2
INT
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
BAR
2 - 3
JUV
24%
22%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
3 - 1
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
LAZ
5 - 3
JUV
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |