Livorno vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
VNZ
2 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 3
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPA
36%
23%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 1
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
VER
1 - 0
REG
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
VER
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
VER
2 - 2
MOD
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |