Livorno vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LIV
3 - 1
OLB
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 2
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
LIV
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GER
0 - 1
TUT
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIS
0 - 2
GER
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GER
2 - 1
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
GER
2 - 3
SIE
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |