Livorno vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
JUV
3 - 0
LIV
69%
16%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
LIV
0 - 0
TRI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
INT
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |