Livorno vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 1
LAZ
36%
24%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
FIO
5 - 2
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GEN
2 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
74%
16%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |