Livorno vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
INT
1 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 6
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAR
6 - 4
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
FOR
0 - 2
ACM
6%
18%
76%
|
35 | 91 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 1
PIA
16%
26%
58%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 0
USF
3%
12%
86%
|
33 | 81 | 48 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -8 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
RAV
2 - 3
FOR
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |