Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDI
5 - 3
LIV
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 0
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 4
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
LIV
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 4
SAS
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
NAP
41%
25%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VER
3 - 5
FIO
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |