Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
BAR
3 - 0
LIV
61%
26%
13%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 1
FCC
41%
35%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
MAS
0 - 0
LIV
31%
30%
39%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
TER
41%
33%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1971 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
TOR
1 - 1
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1971 |
FIO
4 - 0
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |