Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARZ
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
46%
30%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
LIV
47%
31%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
COM
2 - 0
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
FIO
7 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ARZ
0 - 2
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
FIO
3 - 1
VAR
71%
20%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
JUV
0 - 2
FIO
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
FIO
3 - 1
PIS
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |