Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
PRO
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
6 - 2
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
1 - 0
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 2
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
3 - 2
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |