Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
LIV
3 - 1
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
JUV
3 - 0
LIV
69%
16%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
LIV
0 - 0
TRI
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
4 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
FIO
0 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 3
FIO
65%
18%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |