Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 2
LIV
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 2
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
BOL
7 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 3
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 0
FIO
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FIO
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |