Livorno vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ACM
5 - 0
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
VNZ
2 - 2
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
LIV
3 - 1
ATL
50%
22%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
LIV
0 - 1
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 1
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FIO
1 - 2
NAP
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
GEN
0 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |