Livorno vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
LIV
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
REG
2 - 2
LIV
34%
28%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 0
FRA
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 0
FER
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
REG
2 - 2
FER
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FER
4 - 4
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |