Livorno vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.4%
34.7%
Draw
0-0
20%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.1%
0
34.7%
24.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1971 |
MAS
0 - 0
LIV
31%
30%
39%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
TER
41%
33%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASS
39%
34%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
MAN
3 - 1
LIV
60%
26%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
47%
30%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAS
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASS
48%
30%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
FCC
60%
26%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
32%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |