Livorno vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
41%
31%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 1
LIV
72%
20%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
PRG
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
2 - 1
LIV
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARZ
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
COM
2 - 1
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
TAR
47%
31%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 2
FCC
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
CES
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |