Livorno vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CAG
4 - 1
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 0
LIV
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
3 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ASC
0 - 1
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COM
0 - 2
TER
41%
26%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
VIC
0 - 1
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
COM
0 - 1
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
COM
2 - 2
PIA
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TRE
2 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |